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  1. Modeling and analysis of synthetic liquid fuel production from CO2 and nuclear energy using methanol-to-diesel process

    Electrofuels (e-fuels) are synthetic fuels produced from carbon dioxide (CO2) and electricity for blending with or replacing petroleum fuels. Nuclear energy is an attractive energy feedstock for e-fuel production because of its low environmental footprint and its ability to provide steady heat and power essential for e-fuels production. We modeled and evaluated the cost and environmental footprint of e-fuels production in the distillate range for three nuclear power scales, 100, 500, and 1000 MWe, through methanol and olefins intermediates leveraging commercial or high technology readiness level (TRL) processes. Compared to the commonly studied e-fuels from Fischer Tropsch process that hasmore » a distillate yield of <70% with the rest being low value naphtha, the proposed process via methanol intermediate increases the product selectivity with distillate yield of 96% and only 4% naphtha. The modeled process has a carbon conversion ratio of 98%, and a process energy efficiency of 56% relative to the total equivalent nuclear electricity input. The e-fuel plant economics and GHG emissions were estimated by considering CO2 collected from ethanol plants adjacent to nuclear power plants. The estimated minimum fuel selling prices (MFSP) of e-fuel is in the range of $5.7-$9.1/gal depending on e-fuel plant scale, electricity cost, and CO2 transportation distance. The corresponding e-fuels life cycle GHG emissions is estimated in the range of 5-6 gCO2e/MJ of liquid fuel using the R&D Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies (R&D GREET) model.« less
  2. Two-component dynamics in supercritical $$\text {CO}_2$$ from inelastic X-ray scattering

    Supercritical fluids are characterized by unique thermodynamic properties. One of these properties is the existence of two-component dynamics that is associated with distinct low-frequency and high-frequency vibrational responses of the fluid. However, the origin of this behavior remains unknown. By combining inelastic X-ray scattering and molecular dynamics simulations, we show that this behavior can be connected to density heterogeneities arising from molecular clusters. Analyses of measurements and molecular trajectories suggest that the two-component dynamics emerges due to distinct momentum fluctuations of clustered and unbound molecules. This connection between clusters and two-component dynamics highlights the importance of molecular-structural heterogeneities in supercriticalmore » fluids, colloids, and condensed-matter systems.« less
  3. Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis of Nuclear Construction Cost Reduction Pathways

    High construction costs have plagued recent nuclear projects and they hamper the widespread deployment of nuclear technology. The Nuclear Cost Reduction Tool is a plant economic framework that quantifies the impact that various plant design and construction attributes have on construction costs and cost overruns and shows the positive effects of learning over a series of deployments. However, a downside of the current model is that all model outputs and capabilities are deterministic. To provide a more comprehensive view, this study evaluated the impact of model parameter uncertainty through a sensitivity analysis applied to 18 model parameters. This approach quantifiedmore » the impact of model uncertainty on the output variables of Net Overnight Capital Cost (Net OCC), Construction Duration (CD), and Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE). Monte Carlo analysis revealed uncertainty distributions for these variables, showing that absolute uncertainty decreases over a series of deployments. A local sensitivity analysis showed that even small parameter perturbations (5%) can have a significant impact on project execution, highlighting areas that could reduce costs by billions across an order book of plants. The results of this study have improved the understanding of the model and identified the most impactful model parameters and construction attributes.« less
  4. Accelerating magnonic simulations with the pseudospectral Landau-Lifshitz equation

    The pseudospectral Landau-Lifshitz (PS-LL) model can describe atomic-scale magnetic exchange interactions within a continuum framework. This is achieved by employing a convolution kernel that models the nonlocal interaction in a grid-independent manner. Even though the PS-LL was originally introduced to address atomic exchange, any nonlocal kernel can be modeled. In the field of magnonics, the dipole field is fundamental to describe the dispersion relation of magnons, the quasiparticle representation of angular momentum. Because dipole-dipole interactions are long-range, numerical approaches typically rely on convolutions. Here, we demonstrate that the PS-LL model can be used to perform magnonic simulations with a singlemore » convolution kernel derived from analytical solutions. We demonstrate a twofold increase in computational speed compared with the full dipole calculation. This approach is valid insofar as the excitations are linear, which is typically the case for magnons. Our results have the potential to accelerate magnonic research, particularly for the inverse design method, where several simulations must be performed to achieve the desired outcome.« less
  5. A quantum eigenvalue solver based on tensor networks

    Electronic ground states are of central importance in chemical simulations, but have remained beyond the reach of efficient classical algorithms except in cases of weak electron correlation or one-dimensional spatial geometry. We introduce a hybrid quantum-classical eigenvalue solver that constructs a wavefunction ansatz from a linear combination of matrix product states in rotated orbital bases, enabling the characterization of strongly correlated ground states with arbitrary spatial geometry. The energy is converged via a gradient-free generalized sweep algorithm based on quantum subspace diagonalization, with a potentially exponential speedup in the off-diagonal matrix element contractions upon translation into compact quantum circuits ofmore » linear depth in the number of qubits. Chemical accuracy is attained in numerical experiments for both a stretched water molecule and an octahedral arrangement of hydrogen atoms, achieving substantially better correlation energies compared to a unitary coupled-cluster benchmark, with orders of magnitude reductions in quantum resource estimates and a surprisingly high tolerance to shot noise. This proof-of-concept study suggests a promising new avenue for scaling up simulations of strongly correlated chemical systems on near-term quantum hardware.« less
  6. Electronic structure prediction of medium and high entropy alloys across composition space

    We propose machine learning (ML) models to predict the electron density — the fundamental unknown of a material’s ground state — across the composition space of concentrated alloys. From this, other physical properties can be inferred, enabling accelerated exploration. A significant challenge is that the number of descriptors and sampled compositions required for accurate prediction grows rapidly with species. To address this, we employ Bayesian Active Learning (AL), which minimizes training data requirements by leveraging uncertainty quantification capabilities of Bayesian Neural Networks. Compared to the strategic tessellation of the composition space, Bayesian-AL reduces the number of training data points bymore » a factor of 2.5 for ternary (SiGeSn) and 1.7 for quaternary (CrFeCoNi) systems. We also introduce easy-to-optimize, body-attached-frame descriptors, which respect physical symmetries while keeping descriptor-vector size nearly constant as alloy complexity increases. Our ML models demonstrate high accuracy and generalizability in predicting both electron density and energy across composition space.« less
  7. Thermal mechanical assessment of a SiC-SiC-composite clad fuel pin concept in a light water reactor environment

    Accident Tolerant Fuels (ATFs) are designed to increase coping time following an accident scenario while preserving or improving current steady state reactor operational performance. A potential ATF concept is SiC-SiC composite claddings. Fuel performance simulations were conducted on a SiC-SiC based cladding concept utilizing a multilayered approach for improved performance. This cladding concept referred to as the Duplex concept is a duplex structure composed of a monolithic SiC layer placed on the outside of a SiC-SiC composite. A liquid metal is added to fuel-cladding gap for improved heat dissipation from the fuel. The monolithic SiC layer is used to improvemore » the coolant corrosion characteristics and protect the SiC-SiC composite layer from exposure to the coolant. The fuel performance code BISON was used to conduct fuel performance simulations on the cladding concepts. Comparisons are made with a current prototypic fuel rod design (UO2 fuel enclosed in Zircaloy-4 cladding). Representative steady-state cases were considered for normal power and two cycle power histories. Additionally, a PCI ramp case was simulated to analyze potential anticipated operational occurrences. Transient response during a Loss of Coolant Accident and a Reactivity Initiated Accident were also simulated. This computational study demonstrated that for normal operating conditions, the SiC concept cladding performed as well as the baseline for the standard power cases evaluated. The ramping evaluations indicate potential fracturing of the SiC-SiC composite of the composite cladding compared to the Zircaloy-4 cladding due to the temperature gradient and the subsequent differential thermal conductivity degradation and swelling across the composite thickness. In conclusion, the rod fails early at low enthalpy for RIA but survives a LOCA with minimal material loss due to high temperature steam corrosion.« less
  8. Synchronous detection of cosmic rays and correlated errors in superconducting qubit arrays

    Quantum information processing at scale will require sufficiently stable and long-lived qubits, likely enabled by error-correction codes. Several recent superconducting-qubit experiments, however, reported observing intermittent spatiotemporally correlated errors that would be problematic for conventional codes, with ionizing radiation being a likely cause. Here, we directly measured the cosmic-ray contribution to spatiotemporally correlated qubit errors. We accomplished this by synchronously monitoring cosmic-ray detectors and qubit energy-relaxation dynamics of 10 transmon qubits distributed across a 5 × 5 × 0.35 mm3 silicon chip. Cosmic rays caused correlated errors at a rate of $$1/\left(592\begin{array}{c}+48\\ -41\end{array}\,{\rm{s}}\right)$$, accounting for 17.1 ± 1.3% of all suchmore » events. Our qubits responded to essentially all of the cosmic rays and their secondary particles incident on the chip, consistent with the independently measured arrival flux. Moreover, we observed that the landscape of the superconducting gap in proximity to the Josephson junctions dramatically impacts the qubit response to cosmic rays. Given the practical difficulties associated with shielding cosmic rays, our results indicate the importance of radiation hardening—for example, superconducting gap engineering—to the realization of robust quantum error correction.« less
  9. Resource Adequacy and Capital Cost Considerations Pertaining to Large Electric Grids Powered by Wind, Solar, Storage, Gas, and Nuclear

    The capacity and generation of wind, solar, storage, nuclear, and gas are estimated for large, idealized copper-plate electric grids. Wind and solar penetrations of 30% to 80% are considered together with different storage systems such as vanadium and lithium-ion batteries, pumped hydroelectric, compressed air, and hydrogen. In addition to a baseline dispatchable fleet without wind/solar, two bounding cases with wind/solar are analyzed: one without storage and one where the whole wind/solar fleet is connected to the storage system, hence providing a buffer between the wind/solar fleet and the grid. The reality will likely be somewhere between these bounding cases. Themore » viability of a power grid with a large wind/solar penetration and no storage is not guaranteed but was nonetheless considered to provide a lower-bound capital cost estimate. Overall, the options that rely strongly on wind, solar, and storage could be significantly more capital-intensive than those that rely strongly on nuclear, depending on the amount of storage necessary to ensure grid stability. This is especially true in the long run because wind, solar, and storage assets have shorter lifetimes than nuclear plants and, consequently, need to be replaced more frequently. More analyses (e.g., grid stability and public acceptance) are necessary to determine which option is most likely to provide the path of least resistance to powering a clean, affordable, and reliable grid in a timely manner. Depending on the priorities, the path of least resistance may not necessarily be the one that is less capital intensive.« less
  10. Accelerating Innovative Energy Solutions Using Combustion Simulations

    Combustion-based transportation, electricity generation, and industrial heating in manufacturing constitute the three largest sectors of energy demand. Some of the recent technology development in these sectors are: switching to low-carbon fuels for the transportation sector, increasing energy efficiency in the power sector, and capturing carbon emissions from conventional power generators. Several teams at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory have been actively advancing research in these areas by leveraging computational modeling of combustion processes across the heavy-duty land based transportation, aviation, and power generation sectors. This article summarizes some of these efforts, demonstrating the potential of advanced computational techniques to generatemore » technological solutions that will transform the global energy system.« less
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